Win rate
55.7%
93 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$4,059
realized $2,581 · unrealized $1,479
Portfolio
$1,479
volume $1,531,973
Predictions
278
9.5/day · avg $5,511
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 63% +$1,987
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 50% +$415
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$844 | win |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 19¢ | 41¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Culture 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Other 20% $-92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | Yes | 47¢ | 84¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 56.2¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $102 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$284 | $827 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $253 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 35.2¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $121 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | $569 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $270 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $118 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $325 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $93 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $257 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 75.3¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $84 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $52 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $57 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $71 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $83 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $57 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $175 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | +$212 | $1,686 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $182 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 92.8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $213 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | +$334 | $3,029 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $114 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | +$301 | $1,423 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | $214 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $74 | 14/04/2026 |