lordZet

Elections 48% +$2,559 $20,179 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Polish snap election called in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?	No	92¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	11¢	0¢	$-172	loss
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	72¢	0¢	+$152	win

Culture 36% +$651 $96,590 vol · 285 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?	Yes	89¢	96¢	+$47	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?	Yes	52¢	31¢	$-147	loss
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	No	84¢	99¢	+$60	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-498	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-471	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$149	win
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-272	loss
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-343	loss

Tech 62% +$27 $2,355 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	72¢	100¢	$-2	loss
OpenAI browser by October 31?	No	22¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will anyone say "OpenAI deal" during Oracle's 1st Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Announcement?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?	No	3¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?	No	92¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Politics 51% +$3 $9,146 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$-0	—
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?	No	63¢	100¢	+$142	win
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$83	win
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-249	loss
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	54¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Weather 0% $-24 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74–75°F on May 16?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Sports 39% $-58 $13,384 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	7¢	4¢	$-13	loss
Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	88¢	100¢	+$311	win
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-416	loss
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?	Yes	61¢	0¢	+$41	win
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-251	loss
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Max Verstappen finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-118	loss

Finance 40% $-62 $1,002 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no acquisition occur by May 31 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the next James Bond be British?	No	87¢	100¢	+$10	win
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	84¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?	No	76¢	100¢	+$5	win
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Crypto 42% $-74 $1,031 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?	No	67¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	68¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will another coin be listed first on Robinhood?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	No	83¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?	No	20¢	0¢	$-68	loss
SEC to NOT approve spot Bitcoin ETF by Jan 10?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch?	No	6¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15?	No	92¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	44¢	0¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 50% $-82 $2,531 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$76	win
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?	No	85¢	100¢	+$16	win
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$0	win
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	63¢	100¢	$-56	loss
US military action against Iran by Saturday?	No	91¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$24	win
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?	No	87¢	100¢	$-28	loss

Economy 67% $-205 $330 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$4	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-215	loss
August jobs report prints negative?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win

Other 48% $-2,790 $34,524 vol · 125 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$18	win
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	95¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?	Iron Lung	48¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 395m and 400m by January 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?	No	64¢	100¢	+$25	win
Fed rate cut in 2025?	No	25¢	0¢	+$163	win
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	No	59¢	100¢	+$117	win