0x747Cd6E935a57E25C4590bbFbea308751063443B-1758741425147

Tech 64% +$990 $11,219 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	50¢	71¢	+$84	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	69¢	86¢	+$52	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	71¢	17¢	$-81	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$128	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	82¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-67	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$473	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$118	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$80	win

Other 64% +$719 $18,179 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	73¢	88¢	$-29	loss
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	54¢	31¢	$-41	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	44¢	20¢	$-50	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	74¢	72¢	$-4	loss
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	82¢	99¢	+$41	win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	90¢	94¢	+$9	win
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	86¢	83¢	$-6	loss
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-208	loss

Sports 53% +$488 $9,396 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	17¢	2¢	$-7	loss
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-247	loss
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$27	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$300	win
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-9	loss

Politics 0% $-4 $79 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	72¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Economy 40% $-13 $2,407 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	72¢	7¢	$-29	loss
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	92¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win

Crypto 50% $-101 $2,154 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	75¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?	No	84¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 20?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 73% $-131 $4,302 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Yes	60¢	67¢	+$0	win
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$344	win
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	88¢	90¢	$-22	loss
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-542	loss
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	75¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-103	loss

Weather 43% $-253 $1,356 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 14?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 11?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 11?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 11?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-133	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 10?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 10?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Geopolitics 17% $-256 $813 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	$-27	loss
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	86¢	0¢	$-201	loss
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-16	loss