Win rate
83.3%
10 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$12,903
realized $-14,358 · unrealized $27,261
Portfolio
$27,261
volume $159,976
Predictions
11
0.3/day · avg $14,543
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 90% +$12,276
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$607 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$522 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$3,831 | win |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
Politics 50% +$559
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$625 | win |
Recent Trades (12)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$522 | $5,340 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$625 | $3,279 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3,973 | $12,561 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3,831 | $17,478 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $489 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | No | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $917 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $1,497 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 92.5¢ | 92¢ | $-65 | $5,861 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 56.1¢ | 95¢ | +$2,735 | $4,372 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 68.0¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $1,719 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 65.7¢ | 68¢ | +$563 | $20,899 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$607 | $5,426 | 31/12/2026 |