Win rate
93.3%
14 W / 1 L
Total PnL
$241
realized $-1,471 · unrealized $1,712
Portfolio
$1,712
volume $22,497
Predictions
14
0.3/day · avg $1,607
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 83% +$40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Economy 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,713 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $1,686 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,676 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,672 | 07/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $1,611 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,588 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,585 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,604 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,603 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,584 | 01/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $1,492 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,472 | 28/01/2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,486 | 07/01/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,662 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $1,535 | 31/12/2026 |