Win rate
50.0%
15 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$45,835
realized $44,470 · unrealized $1,364
Portfolio
$1,364
volume $260,228
Predictions
47
0.8/day · avg $5,537
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 38% +$45,443
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$3,599 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 24¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,731 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Other 78% +$355
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? | Yes | 16¢ | 4¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 44¢ | 52¢ | +$137 | win |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Recent Trades (30)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17,125 | $2,741 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,731 | $1,731 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23,444 | $1,328 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $190 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$10 | $182 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 37.1¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $80 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $35 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $47 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3,967 | $250 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | $24 | 28/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 21.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5,329 | $1,448 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $194 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-990 | $990 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-4,046 | $4,046 | 14/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 21.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2,326 | $656 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3,067 | $3,067 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $100 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 45.5¢ | 46¢ | +$5 | $212 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 44.1¢ | 52¢ | +$137 | $817 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | No | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $47 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 4¢ | $-29 | $51 | 25/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | $174 | 31/05/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3,599 | $2,314 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 23.9¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | $96 | 30/06/2026 |