Win rate
14.1%
9 W / 55 L
Total PnL
$-2,539
realized $-6,001 · unrealized $3,461
Portfolio
$3,461
volume $818,541
Predictions
118
3.8/day · avg $6,937
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Economy 50% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 60¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Politics 17% $-167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-7 | loss |
Other 10% $-716
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-2 | loss |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | loss |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 18¢ | 6¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Yes | 7¢ | 9¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | loss |
Geopolitics 4% $-1,416
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | loss |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 4¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | Yes | 12¢ | 7¢ | $-20 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 8.5¢ | 1¢ | $-38 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $152 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 30.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $23 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $32 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $42 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $52 | 01/04/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $84 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-773 | $715 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | No | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $32 | 13/03/2026 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 3¢ | $-45 | $150 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 4¢ | $-41 | $200 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $47 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $58 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 1¢ | $-113 | $131 | 30/04/2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 1¢ | $-40 | $61 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 1¢ | $-39 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $43 | 30/04/2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 6¢ | $-120 | $172 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 1¢ | $-14 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 9¢ | +$9 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | $23 | 17/06/2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 6¢ | $-131 | $760 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 4¢ | $-86 | $459 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 5¢ | $-9 | $105 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 4¢ | $-73 | $140 | 30/06/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 9.8¢ | 6¢ | $-70 | $161 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 2¢ | $-35 | $60 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 4¢ | $-23 | $65 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 4¢ | $-19 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 6¢ | $-13 | $44 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 3¢ | $-9 | $29 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 6¢ | $-15 | $43 | 30/06/2026 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 7¢ | $-20 | $49 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 6¢ | $-9 | $35 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | $27 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 5¢ | $-7 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 8¢ | $-1 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.6¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | Yes | 14.5¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 2¢ | $-7 | $46 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 4¢ | $-2 | $195 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 10¢ | $-142 | $609 | 31/12/2026 |