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Sports 77% +$115 $2,844 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-0	loss
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Yes	56¢	76¢	+$2	win
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	No	1¢	1¢	+$9	win
Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	No	31¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	23¢	0¢	+$1	win
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?	Yes	27¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	53¢	100¢	+$3	win
Avalanche vs. Stars	Avalanche	52¢	100¢	+$3	win

Other 63% +$73 $4,620 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	3¢	4¢	+$2	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	7¢	8¢	+$3	win
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24¢	26¢	$-0	loss
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	67¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$1	win
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	28¢	14¢	+$3	win
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	47¢	63¢	+$1	win
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	30¢	+$4	win
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	No	16¢	33¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 41% +$66 $4,405 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	23¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	84¢	82¢	+$10	win
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	30¢	+$7	win
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	3¢	5¢	+$35	win
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	58¢	67¢	+$5	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition	No	1¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	No	86¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?	No	51¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?	No	48¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Elections 73% +$66 $403 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	25¢	40¢	+$6	win
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	21¢	28¢	$-2	loss
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	No	71¢	72¢	+$3	win
Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	21¢	21¢	+$3	win
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	26¢	19¢	$-1	loss
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	34¢	33¢	+$4	win
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	65¢	67¢	+$2	win
Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	2¢	1¢	+$4	win
Will Trump say "Rigged Election" this week? (February 15)	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$45	win

Politics 82% +$56 $526 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	Yes	14¢	20¢	+$7	win
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	22¢	22¢	+$5	win
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	Yes	57¢	66¢	+$6	win
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	53¢	90¢	+$7	win
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	62¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Women's History Month event?	No	43¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?	No	29¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?	Yes	35¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)	No	91¢	100¢	+$4	win

Finance 78% +$29 $620 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	6¢	6¢	+$3	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	73¢	90¢	+$1	win
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	34¢	33¢	+$8	win
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?	No	91¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	24¢	100¢	+$16	win

Weather 50% +$9 $229 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 13?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?	Yes	29¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Tech 67% +$4 $295 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	56¢	60¢	+$0	win
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	3¢	3¢	+$12	win
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?	No	35¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	54¢	59¢	+$13	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $200?	No	55¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Economy 67% +$4 $101 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	3¢	2¢	+$3	win
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 36% $-1 $844 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-1	loss
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	72¢	92¢	+$4	win
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-1	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$1	win
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$11	win
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?	No	17¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$3	win
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	No	15¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-12	loss

Mentions 35% $-1 $1,137 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-0	loss