v.tii

Geopolitics 67% +$319 $5,783 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	44¢	18¢	$-17	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	77¢	84¢	+$4	win
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	73¢	84¢	+$5	win
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	79¢	81¢	+$1	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	39¢	28¢	+$15	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	50¢	72¢	+$7	win
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	94¢	96¢	+$3	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	60¢	25¢	$-4	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	42¢	3¢	$-14	loss

Crypto 100% +$6 $33 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	82¢	100¢	+$6	win

Weather 100% +$5 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?	No	79¢	100¢	+$5	win

Esports 33% $-10 $60 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Vici Gaming	40¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)	Baam Esports	40¢	100¢	+$30	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Aurora	50¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Sports 41% $-85 $886 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	54¢	0¢	$-20	loss
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Sam Hughes	40¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Nuggets vs. Spurs	Nuggets	34¢	100¢	+$94	win
Bulls vs. Lakers	Bulls	18¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Celtics vs. Thunder	Celtics	29¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	36¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)	Nets	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	71¢	100¢	+$16	win
Suns vs. Pacers	Pacers	24¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Rockets	31¢	0¢	$-43	loss

Other 60% $-118 $2,208 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	64¢	58¢	$-7	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	41¢	64¢	+$9	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev	Arthur Fils	39¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)	Paolini	50¢	0¢	$-20	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	BNK FEARX	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?	No	62¢	100¢	+$14	win
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Green	Florida Atlantic Owls	48¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?	No	49¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	No	49¢	100¢	+$41	win

Politics 53% $-399 $956 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	54¢	52¢	+$6	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	73¢	76¢	+$1	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 17?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 1)	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Trump say "Kash" or "Patel" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Trump say "Indonesia" during Board of Peace events on February 19?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	67¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-345	loss