0x71e1...45f0

Politics 39% +$88,205 $52,087 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	73¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27¢	28¢	+$1	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	60¢	60¢	$-0	loss
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-156	loss
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	22¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	81¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?	No	75¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?	No	33¢	0¢	$-264	loss
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$799	win
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?	No	83¢	100¢	$-228	loss

Economy 48% +$37,444 $143,679 vol · 67 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	79¢	80¢	+$2	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	87¢	99¢	+$172	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	17¢	0¢	$-91	loss
US recession in 2025?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-1,965	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	11¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$36,481	win

Weather 69% +$12,911 $53,798 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers	Auburn Tigers	62¢	100¢	+$10,334	win
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	25¢	0¢	$-589	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5	Over	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	8¢	0¢	+$2,130	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	72¢	100¢	$-358	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	72¢	100¢	+$1,630	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5	Under	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Miami Hurricanes	9¢	0¢	+$369	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	30¢	0¢	$-2,558	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	79¢	100¢	$-1,427	loss

Sports 61% +$11,468 $40,418 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	47¢	100¢	+$778	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	65¢	100¢	+$172	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Dodgers	34¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Magic vs. 76ers	Magic	7¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5	Under	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)	Grizzlies	50¢	0¢	$-1,350	loss
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5	Over	48¢	100¢	+$2,325	win
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	73¢	100¢	+$1,458	win
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)	Cavaliers	49¢	100¢	+$1,377	win
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Trail Blazers	26¢	0¢	$-1,404	loss

Culture 57% +$571 $4,790 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?	No	39¢	100¢	+$235	win
Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$166	win
Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-863	loss
Will The Holdovers win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-480	loss

Geopolitics 60% +$157 $937 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Anatomy of a Fall win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$318	win
Will Anatomy of a Fall win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?	No	30¢	0¢	$-119	loss

Crypto 47% $-9,701 $34,784 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-392	loss
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31?	No	34¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-2,058	loss
ETH above $1,900 on April 22?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$1,088	win
ETH above $1,900 on April 22?	No	95¢	100¢	$-1,068	loss
$ETH above $1850 on April 14?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$22	win
$ETH above $1800 on April 14?	No	17¢	0¢	$-64	loss
ETH above $1,900 on April 12?	No	78¢	0¢	$-750	loss
ETH above $1,900 on April 11?	No	22¢	0¢	$-48	loss

Elections 33% $-41,067 $43,126 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	33¢	38¢	+$64	win
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4¢	14¢	+$79	win
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	No	74¢	97¢	+$46	win
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	55¢	30¢	$-77	loss
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	73¢	68¢	$-10	loss
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$560	win
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?	No	44¢	0¢	$-1,129	loss
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-9,362	loss
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-10,920	loss
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	No	67¢	0¢	$-18,785	loss

Other 52% $-52,264 $495,791 vol · 185 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	70¢	70¢	+$1	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	27¢	35¢	+$14	win
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-129	loss
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denolly	Beibit Zhukayev	70¢	100¢	+$221	win
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Alvaro Guillen Meza	61¢	100¢	+$152	win
Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Tristan Schoolkate	Tristan Schoolkate	73¢	100¢	+$75	win
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Oksana Selekhmeteva	74¢	100¢	+$27	win
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Pedro Sakamoto	47¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Tristan Schoolkate	Marc Polmans	27¢	0¢	$-82	loss