Win rate
75.7%
143 W / 46 L
Total PnL
$32,726
realized $-3,573 · unrealized $36,299
Portfolio
$36,299
volume $615,498
Predictions
205
5.4/day · avg $3,002
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 77% +$30,113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | 41¢ | 36¢ | $-146 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-512 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? | No | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? | No | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | Yes | 47¢ | 52¢ | +$11 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 14¢ | 10¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | No | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$31 | win |
Politics 86% +$635
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 74¢ | 54¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 40¢ | 76¢ | +$153 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$110 | win |
Tech 69% +$626
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA reach $192 in April? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$380 | win |
| Will Meta dip to $600 in April? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Tesla dip to $390 in April? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta reach $660 in April? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Tesla dip to $353 in March? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$268 | win |
| Will Google reach $355 in March? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Amazon reach $216 in March? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 3? | Down | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 3? | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 69% +$618
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 41¢ | 70¢ | +$175 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$29 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$325 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 79¢ | 76¢ | $-43 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Crypto 71% +$573
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$98 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27? | Down | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Sports 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix dip to $70 in April? | No | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$23 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $2,357 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 80.6¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | $564 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $194 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 63.6¢ | 0¢ | $-191 | $191 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla dip to $353 in March? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$268 | $132 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$98 | $49 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Google reach $355 in March? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $142 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon reach $216 in March? | No | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $85 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 21.6¢ | 100¢ | +$10,954 | $7,251 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 47.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3,756 | $2,454 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 25.6¢ | 0¢ | +$922 | $572 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$511 | $2,638 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | +$358 | $1,264 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $3,514 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $929 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $1,911 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 86¢ | +$110 | $790 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $726 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | Yes | 43.9¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $1,066 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | +$83 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $607 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $1,331 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $2,565 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$56 | $69 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March? | Yes | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $233 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? | No | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | +$54 | $64 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $183 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $537 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $245 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 55.2¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $2,086 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $128 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | No | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $117 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31? | No | 62.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in March? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $268 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $532 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $742 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $84 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $116 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $992 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $48 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,100 by end of March? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 31/03/2026 |