Win rate
36.4%
8 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$26
realized $-574 · unrealized $600
Portfolio
$600
volume $2,763
Predictions
22
0.4/day · avg $126
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 30% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (23)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $69 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $67 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $75 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $65 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $67 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $67 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $67 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $68 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $67 | 01/01/1970 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $601 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $75 | 31/05/2026 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 30/06/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $75 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 88.2¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $75 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $75 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $75 | 31/12/2026 |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $68 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 95.0¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $600 | 31/03/2027 |