kevolution

Geopolitics 75% +$124 $235 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$6	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	23¢	100¢	$-16	loss

Other 76% +$117 $1,653 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	16¢	13¢	$-4	loss
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	42¢	44¢	+$6	win
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats	Arizona Wildcats	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers	Auburn Tigers	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes	TCU Horned Frogs	81¢	100¢	$-9	loss
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes	Ohio State Buckeyes	73¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)	Prairie View A&M Panthers	90¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 67% +$85 $197 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$91	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 89% +$36 $418 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 75% +$33 $219 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?	No	87¢	100¢	+$3	win
Biden drops out of presidential race?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$14	win

Tech 80% $-7 $263 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $590 Week of April 6 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon reach $240 in January?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??	No	69¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	75¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?	No	53¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 50% $-10 $68 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Sports 67% $-19 $321 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	68¢	100¢	+$10	win
Spurs vs. Mavericks	Spurs	85¢	100¢	+$2	win
Rockets vs. Pacers	Rockets	81¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	73¢	100¢	+$8	win
Rams vs. Panthers	Rams	81¢	100¢	+$4	win
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	79¢	100¢	+$7	win
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	73¢	100¢	+$8	win
Eagles vs. Giants	Eagles	66¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Browns vs. Lions	Lions	75¢	100¢	+$9	win

Weather 77% $-316 $9,910 vol · 196 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19?	No	71¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 18?	Yes	42¢	48¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 18?	No	91¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 17?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 17?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 49% $-2,050 $6,046 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26¢	8¢	$-23	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74¢	88¢	+$10	win
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31¢	16¢	$-54	loss
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	26¢	11¢	$-55	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	18¢	2¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	85¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	52¢	100¢	+$15	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	+$4	win