Win rate
62.7%
106 W / 63 L
Total PnL
$2,150
realized $1,089 · unrealized $1,060
Portfolio
$1,060
volume $583,925
Predictions
200
2.2/day · avg $2,920
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 78% +$8,582
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$383 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card) | Kevin Vallejos | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | BNK FEARX | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$8,042 | win |
| Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner | Alcaraz | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Pacers | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley | Dvalishvili | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Politics 69% +$6,014
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$577 | win |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$521 | win |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-874 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,400 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$911 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 86¢ | 40¢ | $-1,100 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 41¢ | 64¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 52% +$3,446
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Syria next? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 68¢ | 49¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | loss |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$940 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner | T1 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | Dplus KIA | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Esports 57% +$276
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner | Team WE | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-239 | loss |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner | LNG Esports | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | win |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-In | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | win |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner | T1 Academy | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | DN Freecs | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-299 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | OKSavingsBank BRION | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1) | GIANTX | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1) | G2 Esports | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-382 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) | Hanwha Life Esports | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Tech 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 82¢ | 78¢ | $-10 | loss |
Elections 50% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Geopolitics 66% $-15,038
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$964 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$118 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$54 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | +$23 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 61¢ | +$23 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 20¢ | 3¢ | $-609 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 34¢ | +$204 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 75.2¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | $1,264 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 61.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4,290 | $4,290 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-187 | $187 | 10/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-224 | $643 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte? | No | 15.5¢ | 100¢ | +$368 | $67 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte? | No | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $37 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte? | No | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $27 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Out of NATO" or "Withdraw" during events with Rutte? | No | 41.7¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $26 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 50.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5,101 | $11,950 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$242 | $863 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 55.9¢ | 7¢ | +$71 | $4,279 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1? | Yes | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | +$445 | $1,294 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 4? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $57 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $205 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 68.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $582 | 01/04/2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.4¢ | 100¢ | +$940 | $674 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $402 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | +$99 | $784 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $113 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.8¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | $206 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29) | No | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-290 | $293 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference? | Yes | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | +$383 | $3,471 | 18/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card) | Kevin Vallejos | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $500 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Barron" during Inter Miami events on Thursday? | No | 49.8¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $149 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Roll call" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2? | No | 59.7¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 26? | No | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $1,482 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$239 | $18,021 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $41 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 26? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | $287 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" in Corpus Christi on Friday? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | $121 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing? | No | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | $1,476 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Leavitt say "Stand" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $96 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Western Hemisphere" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 39.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3,288 | $2,178 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address? | No | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$273 | $263 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Powell" or "Too Late" during the State of the Union address? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $192 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Western Hemisphere" during the State of the Union address? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $121 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address? | No | 30.3¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | $166 | 24/02/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner | T1 | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 15/02/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | Gen.G | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $2,199 | 14/02/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner | Dplus KIA | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $53 | 14/02/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | $360 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 13/02/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winner | DN SOOPers | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $113 | 12/02/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | BNK FEARX | 56.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $342 | 12/02/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner | Team WE | 64.7¢ | 100¢ | +$454 | $948 | 11/02/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner | LNG Esports | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | $1,027 | 11/02/2026 |