Win rate
50.2%
453 W / 450 L
Total PnL
$-1,667
realized $-3,772 · unrealized $2,105
Portfolio
$2,105
volume $281,910
Predictions
2,117
37.6/day · avg $133
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 61% +$255
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 66¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 34¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$176 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | loss |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 28¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$32 | win |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 80% +$218
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris | Aleksandar Vukic | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
Weather 0% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Missouri Tigers | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Esports 50% $-459
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | GamerLegion | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | Heroic | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs not (BO3) - DreamLeague North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | not | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner | GAM Esports | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner | Team Vitality | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Wolves Esports | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | Bilibili Gaming | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Nongshim RedForce | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Other 57% $-1,618
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 24¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Yes | 46¢ | 4¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrez | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Sports 48% $-4,114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 46¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | Elina Svitolina | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Athletics | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5 | Over | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Rockets | 51¢ | 46¢ | $-7 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 | Over | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | loss |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Knicks | 54¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $392 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 | Over | 57.5¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $161 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | GamerLegion | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $88 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Knicks | 48.0¢ | 48¢ | $-1 | $98 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Knicks | 54.0¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | $63 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $51 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner | Heroic | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $113 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 82.9¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 45.8¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $139 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $450 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $77 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 67.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.7¢ | 0¢ | $-539 | $539 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | No | 54.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 42.4¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Hornets | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $328 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs not (BO3) - DreamLeague North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | not | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Kings | 52.3¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $64 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner | GAM Esports | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Atlanta Braves | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 | Under | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 11/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Oilers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 11/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals | Milwaukee Brewers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BNK FearX Youth | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 09/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner | Team Vitality | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 09/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Wolves Esports | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-12.5) | Suns | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 09/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 233.5 | Over | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? | No | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | $215 | 09/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 55.3¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $89 | 08/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $31 | 08/04/2026 |