Mantzuraj

Geopolitics 65% +$2,656 $15,928 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	No	94¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will Renato Moicano win by KO or TKO?	No	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	No	96¢	0¢	$-341	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$142	win
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Izyan Ahmad	Thiago Agustin Tirante	96¢	100¢	+$16	win
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5	Under	42¢	0¢	$-220	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?	No	75¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?	No	46¢	0¢	$-120	loss

Other 69% +$886 $226,816 vol · 1021 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	11¢	28¢	+$107	win
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	55¢	98¢	+$240	win
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	87¢	95¢	$-24	loss
Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	87¢	94¢	+$91	win
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	68¢	96¢	+$46	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	62¢	60¢	+$222	win
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	16¢	69¢	+$61	win
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	79¢	56¢	+$51	win

Esports 61% +$645 $31,745 vol · 96 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs insane players (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs	Marsborne	52¢	50¢	$-7	loss
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season	FALKE Esports	11¢	0¢	$-202	loss
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	FunPlus Phoenix	46¢	100¢	+$218	win
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	Inner Circle	42¢	100¢	+$89	win
Counter-Strike: desempleHADAS vs Crashers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	Crashers	48¢	50¢	+$1	win
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group A	PARIVISION	54¢	100¢	+$102	win
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group A	PARIVISION	92¢	100¢	+$61	win
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs	DashSkins	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs EC BANGA - Map 2 Winner	ENCE Academy	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Valorant: University War GC vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage	Olimpo Gold	57¢	50¢	$-20	loss

Crypto 58% +$440 $3,683 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$40	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	81¢	100¢	+$99	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	46¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	55¢	0¢	$-55	loss
International T20 Series: Australia vs Netherlands (Game 1)	Australia	70¢	50¢	$-4	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?	120k	49¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$450	win
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on October 17?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on October 17?	No	53¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 7-13?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-26	loss

Finance 71% +$274 $669 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Procter & Gamble say "Revenue" during earnings call?	No	54¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Procter & Gamble say "Trade" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	No	64¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will anyone say "India" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$0	—

Weather 100% +$82 $721 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?	No	64¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on October 7?	No	91¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 6?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on October 3?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 29?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 75% +$6 $369 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: ENPPI (-2.5)	Zamalek SC	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$3	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	No	7¢	100¢	+$30	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-33	loss

Tech 80% $-77 $3,233 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-2.5)	FC UTA Arad	95¢	100¢	+$49	win
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	No	69¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 7+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 7+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	No	1¢	0¢	$-180	loss
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$33	win

Mentions 67% $-154 $1,026 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	41¢	0¢	$-204	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$2	win

Elections 61% $-342 $7,870 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	48¢	40¢	$-60	loss
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	48¢	38¢	$-63	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	79¢	0¢	$-499	loss
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	62¢	85¢	$-0	loss
Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$12	win

Politics 63% $-375 $17,126 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	93¢	98¢	+$15	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	89¢	99¢	$-45	loss
Set 1 Winner: Harris vs Mannarino	Mannarino	33¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Trump sue the BBC?	No	40¢	0¢	+$26	win
South Park: JD Vance becomes President?	No	87¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-84	loss

Culture 39% $-1,336 $12,130 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	50¢	42¢	$-30	loss
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?	No	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	62¢	0¢	$-233	loss
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be under 300k?	No	90¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?	No	47¢	100¢	$-36	loss

Sports 60% $-1,986 $86,114 vol · 358 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	75¢	92¢	+$6	win
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	No	20¢	0¢	$-163	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	41¢	46¢	+$121	win
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	20¢	24¢	+$34	win
Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?	No	45¢	0¢	$-909	loss
Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis	Benn	92¢	100¢	+$88	win
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Fury	100¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	93¢	100¢	+$68	win
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	50¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	56¢	100¢	+$100	win