Win rate
68.2%
135 W / 63 L
Total PnL
$272
realized $-33,129 · unrealized $33,401
Portfolio
$33,401
volume $365,229
Predictions
221
4.4/day · avg $1,653
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 73% +$2,544
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$721 | win |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 47¢ | 85¢ | +$199 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 58¢ | 74¢ | +$106 | win |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | No | 65¢ | 87¢ | +$10 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Brazil join the Board of Peace? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
Politics 71% +$49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 84¢ | 78¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Elections 23% $-153
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 79¢ | 64¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 37¢ | 34¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 76¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22¢ | 18¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-430 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will André Ventura win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Geopolitics 72% $-174
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 20¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 30¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$548 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$147 | win |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$45 | win |
Crypto 64% $-545
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 25¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 71¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 60¢ | 23¢ | $-187 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 53¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 81¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 75¢ | 60¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | Yes | 21¢ | 3¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Sports 81% $-935
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will Georgia record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will South Korea record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Venezuela record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-269 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 75.6¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | $53 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22.5¢ | 18¢ | $-6 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $92 | 07/04/2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3? | No | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $63 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$326 | $1,951 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $2,467 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $957 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $712 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in March? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $560 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $109 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $270 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $351 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $324 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in March? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $191 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in March? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $309 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $95 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $136 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $206 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 57.2¢ | 100¢ | $-157 | $229 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Yes | 39.2¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | $314 | 01/04/2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$345 | $1,931 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$197 | $6,789 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $3,263 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | $936 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $2,237 | 31/03/2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $4,168 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $2,845 | 31/03/2026 |
| NATO Article 5 by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $3,251 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $416 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $72 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $285 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026? | No | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $194 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | No | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $72 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $137 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-394 | $2,657 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 38.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,491 | $1,458 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29? | No | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $216 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $103 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 23-29? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $88 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $65 | 27/03/2026 |