Win rate
33.7%
256 W / 503 L
Total PnL
$26,228
realized $25,256 · unrealized $972
Portfolio
$972
volume $2,023,404
Predictions
757
7.6/day · avg $2,673
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 33% +$15,783
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20? | No | 9¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | No | 6¢ | 11¢ | +$172 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Politics 42% +$10,184
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$148 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-471 | loss |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$544 | win |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$363 | win |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$80 | win |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$911 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
Tech 100% +$213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | win |
Elections 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 67% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will $MELANIA FDV be $3-5b on Friday? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
Economy 0% $-149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
Geopolitics 55% $-487
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | loss |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-782 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-3,336 | loss |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$3,077 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$390 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | win |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18? | No | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$12 | $76 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | No | 5.7¢ | 11¢ | +$172 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | Yes | 36.3¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $130 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 47.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |