Win rate
71.9%
41 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-412
realized $-922 · unrealized $510
Portfolio
$510
volume $18,470
Predictions
134
4.7/day · avg $138
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 70% +$101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? | No | 70¢ | 56¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit? | No | 75¢ | 73¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$26 | win |
Sports 100% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$17 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Culture 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 50% $-52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" during his next video? | Yes | 49¢ | 3¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 69% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 8? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 6? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 6? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 6? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 6? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 6? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 5? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 65.6¢ | 98¢ | +$26 | $52 | 19/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $323 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $53 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 86.3¢ | 96¢ | +$17 | $147 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 60.5¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" during his next video? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 3¢ | $-49 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9? | No | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 8? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 6? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $85 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 6? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $135 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 6? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $135 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 6? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $88 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 6? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on April 6? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $234 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 6? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $198 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 6? | No | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $45 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $232 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 5? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 5? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $95 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 5? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 5? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 5? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 5? | No | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $43 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 5? | No | 93.2¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $109 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on April 4? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $95 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 4? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $113 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 4? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $95 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 4? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 4? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 4? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 4? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $184 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 4? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $244 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 4? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $53 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 4? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $232 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $252 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 3? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $163 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 3? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $126 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 3? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $142 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 2? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $235 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on April 2? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $238 | 02/04/2026 |