Win rate
55.4%
102 W / 82 L
Total PnL
$-310
realized $-2,092 · unrealized $1,782
Portfolio
$1,782
volume $117,477
Predictions
244
4.4/day · avg $481
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 57% +$502
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$9 | win |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 52¢ | 18¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 82¢ | $-12 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | No | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 67% +$83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 79¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | No | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 93¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta dip to $620 in February? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Sports 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 60% $-113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? | 100k | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 150k | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-207 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$1 | win |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | Gold | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | ETH | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
Other 42% $-479
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 75¢ | 78¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 29¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 54¢ | 44¢ | $-9 | loss |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 69¢ | 68¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 86¢ | 14¢ | $-974 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 79¢ | 36¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | No | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 79.0¢ | 16¢ | $-43 | $137 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $52 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 09/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $84 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $21 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $34 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $60 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in March? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 01/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $485 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $233 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $177 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $129 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? | No | 78.4¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $95 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,044 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | No | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $137 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $104 | 31/03/2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $327 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $73 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $82 | 31/03/2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | No | 73.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $382 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 75.2¢ | 50¢ | $-14 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | Yes | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $360 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | 56.0¢ | 50¢ | $-50 | $348 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $94 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | $297 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $159 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $80 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $269 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $67 | 09/03/2026 |