Win rate
60.0%
15 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$-10
realized $-1,519 · unrealized $1,509
Portfolio
$1,509
volume $27,536
Predictions
47
0.9/day · avg $586
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 67% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 43% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 75% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (28)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $22 | 24/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $31 | 25/01/2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 15/01/2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/11/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89.0¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | $28 | 31/05/2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,420 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 31/12/2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $22 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.0¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $31 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-8 | $81 | 07/11/2028 |