Win rate
14.0%
200 W / 1229 L
Total PnL
$-22,537
realized $-30,182 · unrealized $7,644
Portfolio
$7,644
volume $2,519,894
Predictions
1,333
11.4/day · avg $1,890
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 31% +$2,577
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Seahawks Team Total: O/U 16.5 | Under | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in December? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 67% +$206
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$186 | win |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Culture 100% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high before 2026? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 11? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Politics 7% $-465
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 53¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump issue 25-29 executive orders in May? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
Other 27% $-3,167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 1¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? | Yes | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? | No | 35¢ | 84¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 45¢ | 86¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings? | No | 31¢ | 77¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-195 | loss |
Economy 28% $-3,203
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-207 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-802 | loss |
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Mentions 11% $-25,884
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-672 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-227 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $254 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | $229 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $165 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $125 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $225 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |