0x6de9...a8e5

Culture 65% +$239 $2,645 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than $17m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	No	71¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	No	49¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Crypto 81% +$168 $6,712 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	76¢	78¢	$-6	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	95¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	29¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
XRP all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Solana all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 65% +$151 $23,359 vol · 234 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$2	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	40¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	59¢	54¢	$-6	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	90¢	94¢	+$34	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	76¢	90¢	+$25	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	75¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	65¢	82¢	+$12	win

Economy 75% +$10 $317 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	52¢	8¢	+$0	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Tech 50% $-19 $824 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	41¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	86¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?	Yes	84¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Elections 53% $-36 $3,363 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	28¢	10¢	$-2	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	94¢	75¢	$-5	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	82¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	70¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	68¢	99¢	$-2	loss

Mentions 33% $-38 $140 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	38¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	64¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win

Finance 18% $-153 $677 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	71¢	70¢	$-26	loss
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-4	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Up	63¢	100¢	$-8	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?	Up	84¢	0¢	$-84	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?	Up	52¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 77% $-312 $17,754 vol · 212 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?	No	93¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17?	No	88¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 17?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on April 17?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss

Other 57% $-531 $20,459 vol · 321 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	66¢	80¢	+$6	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	18¢	16¢	$-4	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	78¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	63¢	0¢	+$1	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	75¢	62¢	$-1	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	97¢	98¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	53¢	77¢	+$69	win

Politics 54% $-557 $6,752 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	51¢	52¢	+$0	—
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	51¢	48¢	$-2	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	41¢	65¢	$-16	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	60¢	60¢	$-23	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	90¢	40¢	$-70	loss
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	95¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win

Esports 61% $-673 $6,382 vol · 99 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	paiN Gaming	24¢	0¢	$-146	loss
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	57¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Trace Esports	64¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	MOUZ	66¢	100¢	+$13	win
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	L1ga Team	36¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	MIBR	70¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	Inner Circle Esports	38¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	80¢	100¢	+$12	win
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	Voca	29¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	Heroic	71¢	0¢	$-47	loss

Sports 53% $-950 $27,081 vol · 448 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	45¢	34¢	+$2	win
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	87¢	91¢	+$1	win
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)	Cub Swanson	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Magic vs. Bulls	Magic	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Oilers vs. Sharks	Oilers	77¢	100¢	+$35	win
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	93¢	100¢	+$9	win
Heat vs. Raptors	Raptors	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Mavericks vs. Clippers	Clippers	88¢	100¢	+$7	win