hu1k5pl

Economy 86% +$28,661 $368,083 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	98¢	+$35	win
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	98¢	+$12	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-13	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$541	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$1,095	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$5,665	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$15	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-532	loss

Tech 85% +$12,382 $90,552 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$11	win
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	91¢	0¢	$-148	loss
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	48¢	100¢	+$587	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	Yes	98¢	0¢	$-295	loss
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	Yes	90¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$9	win

Other 90% +$5,569 $121,370 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Over $3M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	91¢	100¢	+$9	win
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 71% +$3,911 $83,650 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-2	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	87¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$229	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-143	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-667	loss
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 74% +$2,432 $112,391 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	86¢	84¢	$-137	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	90¢	88¢	$-14	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	95¢	98¢	$-621	loss
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	95¢	79¢	$-172	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	93¢	93¢	+$1	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$23	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	90¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	83¢	88¢	+$106	win

Elections 67% +$510 $16,721 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$134	win
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	96¢	96¢	$-2	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	80¢	85¢	$-108	loss
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$294	win
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$161	win
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$22	win

Sports 100% +$37 $520 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$37	win

Finance 100% +$20 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$20	win

Weather 100% +$9 $825 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 8?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 67% $-73 $400 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	85¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$8	win

Geopolitics 86% $-12,889 $113,579 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$90	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$392	win
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	88¢	90¢	+$13	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	89¢	96¢	+$22	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$198	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$33	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	66¢	81¢	+$44	win
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	85¢	87¢	+$10	win
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	No	92¢	93¢	+$6	win