4751346

Sports 65% +$88,381 $1,567,492 vol · 1161 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	75¢	+$198	win
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	63¢	73¢	+$34	win
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	40¢	66¢	+$26	win
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	94¢	90¢	$-3	loss
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	81¢	84¢	+$2	win
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	77¢	78¢	+$1	win
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8¢	9¢	+$18	win
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	72¢	84¢	+$4	win
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ryan Spann	44¢	47¢	+$5	win
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	JJ Aldrich	38¢	8¢	$-40	loss

Crypto 82% +$16,198 $305,262 vol · 274 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	87¢	50¢	$-21	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	93¢	92¢	$-11	loss
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	80¢	80¢	$-1	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	92¢	98¢	+$22	win
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	No	95¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?	No	59¢	0¢	$-1,293	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?	No	95¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?	No	95¢	100¢	+$11	win

Other 76% +$13,666 $522,536 vol · 599 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	87¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	82¢	86¢	+$31	win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	8¢	$-64	loss
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	68¢	68¢	+$22	win
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	88¢	96¢	+$548	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	81¢	76¢	$-245	loss
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	63¢	57¢	$-78	loss
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	88¢	92¢	+$50	win
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?	No	84¢	86¢	+$18	win

Elections 71% +$2,218 $393,546 vol · 129 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	19¢	17¢	+$109	win
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	27¢	24¢	$-59	loss
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	76¢	80¢	$-71	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	48¢	60¢	+$26	win
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-1,914	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	74¢	89¢	+$8	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	87¢	91¢	+$104	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$275	win

Culture 90% +$790 $13,966 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$139	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	79¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$248	win
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$161	win
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	29¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will 'Stardew Valley' win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards?	Yes	84¢	0¢	+$1	win
Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$30	win

Esports 95% +$509 $21,587 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
StarCraft II: Maru vs Zoun (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs	Maru	79¢	100¢	+$11	win
StarCraft II: Harstem vs Bunny - Map 2 Winner	Bunny	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
StarCraft II: Harstem vs Zoun - Map 2 Winner	Harstem	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
StarCraft II: trigger vs Bunny - Map 2 Winner	Bunny	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: SHIN vs Bunny (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group D	Bunny	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: SHIN vs trigger - Map 2 Winner	SHIN	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: Gerald vs Percival (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group C	Percival	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: Percival vs herO (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group C	herO	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: Solar vs Gerald - Map 2 Winner	Solar	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$9	win

Politics 74% +$498 $268,810 vol · 186 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	12¢	22¢	+$49	win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24¢	27¢	+$361	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	85¢	84¢	$-15	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	55¢	84¢	+$36	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	86¢	92¢	+$79	win
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	66¢	36¢	$-439	loss
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	93¢	94¢	+$10	win
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	95¢	96¢	+$17	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$276	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	86¢	100¢	+$120	win

Tech 80% +$124 $1,987 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	41¢	0¢	+$91	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?	No	75¢	50¢	$-10	loss

Economy 100% +$49 $450 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$49	win

Mentions 67% +$10 $349 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17?	No	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?	No	21¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Weather 50% $-101 $1,464 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tsunami flooding in downtown San Francisco?	No	97¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?	No	77¢	0¢	$-147	loss

Geopolitics 79% $-340 $212,998 vol · 129 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$145	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	43¢	18¢	+$40	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	66¢	82¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	42¢	0¢	$-168	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	84¢	90¢	+$257	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	89¢	91¢	+$25	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	81¢	49¢	$-29	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	72¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	24¢	8¢	$-25	loss

Finance 50% $-483 $9,891 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	83¢	27¢	+$2	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$2	win
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	68¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?	Down	94¢	100¢	+$22	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?	Up	56¢	0¢	$-164	loss
Will Florian Lipowitz finish in the top 10 at the 2025 Tour de France?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will FBI send Pam Bondi the full Epstein files by Friday?	No	88¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?	No	71¢	0¢	$-30	loss