RFAM

Sports 29% +$10 $745 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	7¢	7¢	+$1	win
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	83¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	64¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins	Cincinnati Reds	54¢	100¢	+$18	win
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	St. Louis Cardinals	56¢	100¢	+$10	win
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	66¢	66¢	$-1	loss
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)	Mike Malott	72¢	72¢	$-0	loss
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	30¢	28¢	$-2	loss
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	42¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Esports 50% +$6 $59 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	63¢	100¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Team Falcons	62¢	60¢	$-2	loss

Geopolitics 40% +$2 $147 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	55¢	54¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	67¢	62¢	+$0	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$4	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	55¢	55¢	$-0	loss
Senators vs. Hurricanes	Senators	42¢	42¢	$-0	loss

Elections 25% $-0 $190 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	83¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	66¢	$-0	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	77¢	78¢	+$0	win

Politics 25% $-0 $176 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	72¢	73¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	84¢	82¢	$-0	loss

Tech 0% $-1 $46 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	69¢	70¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 0% $-26 $80 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	54¢	40¢	$-10	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?	Yes	12¢	1¢	$-16	loss

Other 13% $-48 $502 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	$-0	loss
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	66¢	66¢	$-1	loss
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	60¢	59¢	$-1	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	62¢	70¢	+$3	win
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun	Sergey Fomin	37¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	Royal Challengers Bangalore	62¢	44¢	$-8	loss
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Mumbai Indians	55¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	55¢	55¢	$-0	loss
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	34¢	32¢	$-2	loss
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?	No	54¢	54¢	$-1	loss