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0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157
0x6daeff7fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694ae45a · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
58.3%
49 W / 35 L
Total PnL
$104
realized $-789 · unrealized $892
Portfolio
$892
volume $66,948
Predictions
94
3.4/day · avg $712
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 62% +$169
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 70¢ | +$11 | win |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 45¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 38¢ | 30¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 42¢ | 30¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 74¢ | $-5 | loss |
Other 57% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 66¢ | 60¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4500 (LOW) in Q1 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026? | No | 89¢ | 87¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 33% $-73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 99¢ | +$24 | $522 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $105 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 78.7¢ | 99¢ | +$56 | $397 | 12/04/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $1,747 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $1,060 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $112 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 6500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 4500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026? | No | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | No | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4500 (LOW) in Q1 2026? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | No | 67.0¢ | 66¢ | $-0 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik | Frances Tiafoe | 38.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $23 | 30/03/2026 |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $83 | 07/03/2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $25 | 07/03/2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28? | Yes | 11.7¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $98 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $89 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $131 | 28/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $52 | 28/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 84.9¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $1,081 | 28/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $729 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $793 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $142 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $732 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $25 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026? | No | 88.1¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | $176 | 30/04/2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026? | No | 77.1¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | $134 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 18¢ | +$5 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | $56 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 87¢ | $-1 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30? | No | 79.0¢ | 90¢ | $-2 | $94 | 30/04/2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | No | 92.3¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $231 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $290 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $351 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $621 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $571 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | $204 | 30/06/2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | No | 88.0¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | $180 | 30/06/2026 |
| U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 64.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $220 | 30/06/2026 |