Win rate
48.1%
13 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$-25
realized $-1,790 · unrealized $1,765
Portfolio
$1,765
volume $46,472
Predictions
46
1.0/day · avg $1,010
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 67% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 29% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 83% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $67 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $85 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $66 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $37 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $34 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,700 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $27 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $30 | 30/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 69¢ | +$0 | $22 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 83.8¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | $21 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,724 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,705 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $21 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $48 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $34 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,704 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $39 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | $34 | 07/11/2028 |