Win rate
22.3%
133 W / 464 L
Total PnL
$1,249
realized $252 · unrealized $997
Portfolio
$997
volume $383,613
Predictions
5,307
195.6/day · avg $72
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 20% +$615
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 25¢ | +$451 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 50¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$33 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Senators | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Culture 50% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 58% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | HAVU | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs | Leo Team | 49¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Team Liquid | 47¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Team Yandex | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Charrados FC (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | Charrados FC | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$9 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Tundra Esports | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: OG vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D | GRINGOS | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | FUT Esports | 44¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Team Spirit | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5 | Under | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 38% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 49¢ | 44¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Sabres vs. Golden Knights | Sabres | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Predators vs. Jets | Jets | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Tech 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 22¢ | $-30 | loss |
Politics 0% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Crypto 12% $-197
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 15? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 15? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 12? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 12? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 10? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 10? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 9? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 9? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 25? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 25? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Mentions 27% $-1,096
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-422 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-530 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Other 40% $-1,330
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 50¢ | 58¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 42¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,123 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 50¢ | 1¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Weather 17% $-11,911
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 59¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $435 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 59¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-422 | $495 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-437 | $510 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 41¢ | $-15 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 66¢ | +$10 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 100¢ | +$185 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$142 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $120 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $210 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 16/04/2026 |