Win rate
46.1%
129 W / 151 L
Total PnL
$-5,736
realized $-47,790 · unrealized $42,053
Portfolio
$42,053
volume $1,677,106
Predictions
359
2.7/day · avg $4,672
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 62% +$5,070
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3,644 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$799 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$397 | win |
Culture 100% +$617
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$467 | win |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
Politics 100% +$279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | win |
Elections 100% +$65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
Economy 50% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 21? | Down | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Sports 26% $-472
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 16¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis | Prograis | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Timberwolves | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-977 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Magic | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1,207 | win |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-305 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Celtics | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | 76ers | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | Machado Garry | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
Esports 27% $-2,286
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | TheMongolz | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | Wildcard | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-1,497 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$341 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | TheMongolz | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C | Eternal Fire | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | Rune Eaters | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | FURIA | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
Geopolitics 59% $-4,599
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 64¢ | 70¢ | $-2,667 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$11,811 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $-1,014 | loss |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$3,595 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-8,624 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3,227 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Russia win on 2026-03-31? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-1,246 | loss |
Other 46% $-9,001
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-338 | loss |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | $-303 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 22¢ | 26¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-668 | loss |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-800 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 89¢ | 59¢ | $-28 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-202 | $316 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | 3DMAX | 30.4¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis | Prograis | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $140 | 12/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $128 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 14.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $21 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | TheMongolz | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | TheMongolz | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Timberwolves | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-977 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |
| SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 | Over | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-688 | $700 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | Wildcard | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 08/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Magic | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,207 | $1,070 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03? | No | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,301 | $1,320 | 03/04/2026 |
| Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $355 | 01/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,227 | $46,376 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $550 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia win on 2026-03-31? | No | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-03-31? | No | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: March | Nothing | 66.0¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,246 | $1,355 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1,736 | $6,776 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,745 | $5,281 | 31/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,497 | $2,054 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$341 | $514 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-355 | $355 | 27/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | TheMongolz | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $232 | 27/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C | Eternal Fire | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-11 | $564 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | Rune Eaters | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $53 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,059 | $2,059 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-532 | $532 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | JD Gaming | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-261 | $410 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-569 | $569 | 17/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $200 | 15/03/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$185 | $208 | 15/03/2026 |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score | No | 50.4¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $70 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,597 | $2,044 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $102 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $558 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $172 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-570 | $570 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13? | No | 57.9¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $100 | 13/03/2026 |