Win rate
62.2%
23 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$217
realized $-874 · unrealized $1,091
Portfolio
$1,091
volume $55,356
Predictions
107
5.5/day · avg $517
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 67% +$216
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Lynx | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | L1ga Team | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Liquid | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner | Nigma Galaxy | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B | Nigma Galaxy | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
Other 62% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 83¢ | 80¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 39¢ | 11¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | No | 84¢ | 59¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | No | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$9 | win |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Natus Vincere | 54¢ | 33¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
Geopolitics 78% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$4 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 33% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 58¢ | 55¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Recent Trades (37)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $196 | 15/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Natus Vincere | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $167 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $194 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? | Yes | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | Yes | 56.6¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Lynx | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | L1ga Team | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 09/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $32 | 08/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Liquid | 55.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $28 | 08/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner | Nigma Galaxy | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $136 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner | Nigma Galaxy | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 37.3¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $37 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B | Nigma Galaxy | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $200 | 06/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $110 | 31/03/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Natus Vincere | 54.0¢ | 33¢ | $-5 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $26 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 53.7¢ | 56¢ | +$3 | $396 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 58.5¢ | 55¢ | $-15 | $125 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 76.2¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | $84 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 91.6¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | $89 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 41.8¢ | 96¢ | +$39 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | No | 80.0¢ | 97¢ | +$9 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.2¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | $33 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 49¢ | +$2 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | No | 84.0¢ | 59¢ | +$1 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $216 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $183 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 69.0¢ | 44¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 39.0¢ | 11¢ | $-8 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | $37 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 80¢ | $-2 | $70 | 31/05/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 71.3¢ | 75¢ | +$4 | $71 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $51 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $152 | 30/06/2026 |