Noname333

Other 84% +$3,784 $57,893 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-239	loss
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	83¢	100¢	+$565	win
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	93¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	49¢	24¢	+$64	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-369	loss
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	67¢	83¢	+$416	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	87¢	95¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 64% +$1,605 $54,220 vol · 86 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$400	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	40¢	0¢	+$24	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	66¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	62¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$857	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	51¢	0¢	$-1,701	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	88¢	96¢	+$3	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$131	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	34¢	68¢	+$20	win

Crypto 100% +$472 $3,012 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	29¢	42¢	+$310	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	No	91¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	67¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	No	94¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win

Sports 87% +$196 $19,348 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Belgium win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Krzysztof Ratajski win the PDC World Darts Championship?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win

Economy 100% +$120 $3,711 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$55	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$17	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	93¢	100¢	+$11	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$24	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win

Elections 71% +$112 $8,720 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	87¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	92¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	93¢	100¢	$-103	loss
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-158	loss
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?	No	59¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$18	win

Politics 70% $-188 $16,760 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	36¢	28¢	+$7	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?	No	8¢	18¢	$-16	loss
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-29	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	72¢	78¢	+$45	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	92¢	80¢	$-29	loss
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	94¢	93¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	No	92¢	99¢	+$44	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	$-33	loss