Win rate
38.0%
232 W / 379 L
Total PnL
$-3,570
realized $-17,045 · unrealized $13,474
Portfolio
$13,474
volume $1,505,630
Predictions
1,115
41.7/day · avg $1,350
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 40% +$438
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato | Marco Cecchinato | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-246 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner | 1WIN | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 9¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Elections 38% +$378
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 43¢ | 39¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 68¢ | 64¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-353 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 44¢ | 34¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 42¢ | 96¢ | +$1,181 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$301 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$229 | win |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | 64¢ | 94¢ | +$65 | win |
Finance 40% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | Anna Bondar | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondar | Anna Bondar | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Marat Sharipov | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Yasutaka Uchiyama | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Crypto 67% $-92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-185 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Politics 0% $-99
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 62¢ | 58¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 53¢ | 42¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 32¢ | 30¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Oeiras 3: Jurij Rodionov vs Billy Harris | Billy Harris | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
Culture 33% $-342
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Alex Rybakov | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-397 | loss |
| Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Weather 50% $-650
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 78¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19? | No | 51¢ | 26¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Under | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-831 | loss |
Esports 29% $-2,706
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner | MODUS | 42¢ | 36¢ | $-6 | loss |
| LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner | SU Esports | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner | Bebop | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | DN SOOPers | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner | Barcząca Esports | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | RED Canids | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Fire Flux Esports | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Team Lynx | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Sports 48% $-3,831
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$53 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-339 | loss |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox | Detroit Tigers | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Linda Noskova | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Elina Svitolina | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$492 | win |
Other 34% $-19,155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | Yes | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$14 | win |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$120 | win |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 58¢ | 56¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Walton | Yunchaokete Bu | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | Alex Bolt | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 49.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,150 | $1,123 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 47.2¢ | 100¢ | +$643 | $622 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 42.3¢ | 100¢ | +$345 | $253 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $312 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $85 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Club Blooming end in a draw? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-16? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Kraken | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $81 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $139 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 48.1¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $217 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-578 | $578 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 57.1¢ | 64¢ | +$85 | $653 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 34¢ | $-31 | $320 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 52.1¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | $302 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $232 | 17/04/2026 |
| SV 07 Elversberg vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 48.8¢ | 48¢ | $-4 | $158 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | Under | 54.0¢ | 52¢ | $-8 | $172 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | No | 40.4¢ | 38¢ | $-8 | $114 | 17/04/2026 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 34.5¢ | 60¢ | +$57 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5 | Under | 40.5¢ | 40¢ | $-2 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 | Over | 45.0¢ | 40¢ | $-12 | $97 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 38¢ | +$1 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | No | 67.0¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $108 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 49.4¢ | 57¢ | +$10 | $91 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16? | No | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 55.5¢ | 74¢ | +$18 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner | MODUS | 42.0¢ | 36¢ | $-6 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5 | Over | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 75.8¢ | 56¢ | $-17 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 52.1¢ | 24¢ | $-22 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-17? | No | 71.0¢ | 70¢ | $-0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 63.4¢ | 60¢ | $-2 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 39.5¢ | 38¢ | $-1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 53.7¢ | 42¢ | $-6 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 45.2¢ | 23¢ | $-11 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 47.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw? | No | 77.7¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 44.8¢ | 26¢ | $-9 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | 60.0¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 77.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | No | 69.2¢ | 69¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 72.1¢ | 83¢ | +$6 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$954 | $1,035 | 16/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$385 | $431 | 16/04/2026 |