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0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
66.1%
125 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$22,817
realized $-18,898 · unrealized $41,715
Portfolio
$41,715
volume $1,094,753
Predictions
203
3.7/day · avg $5,393
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 63% +$23,812
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-392 | loss |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 57¢ | +$3 | win |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$97 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | No | 67¢ | 92¢ | +$2,493 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$441 | win |
Sports 40% +$2,740
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight to Go the Distance? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$1,282 | win |
| Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | Gaethje | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$1,818 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | Timberwolves | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
Geopolitics 72% +$2,373
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 18¢ | +$593 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-347 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-3,601 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1,039 | loss |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | win |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | $-102 | loss |
Elections 50% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 64¢ | 72¢ | $-15 | loss |
Tech 33% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Crypto 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Politics 64% $-7,622
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 82¢ | $-590 | loss |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-7,426 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-425 | loss |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in November? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-417 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-208 | loss |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | No | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $1,344 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 90.6¢ | 98¢ | $-12 | $891 | 15/04/2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $105 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $1,253 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 77.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,201 | $7,316 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 87.3¢ | 0¢ | $-7,426 | $9,533 | 15/04/2026 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | No | 57.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,282 | $1,722 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | $318 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,531 | $2,492 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,145 | $6,488 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$878 | $8,182 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | +$525 | $360 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | Yes | 44.9¢ | 100¢ | +$359 | $343 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | +$340 | $4,174 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$329 | $6,669 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $1,840 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $1,750 | 31/03/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$181 | $1,167 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $4,918 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | No | 57.8¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $1,543 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $1,227 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $8,952 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $1,274 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $435 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $2,307 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $3,241 | 31/03/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $808 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $2,264 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $2,293 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $702 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $367 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026? | No | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $92 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 28, 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $168 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $700 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $86 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026? | Yes | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $197 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $239 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 26, 2026? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $123 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 25, 2026? | Yes | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $243 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,032 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026? | Yes | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $780 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $788 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $823 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $659 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $301 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | $-41 | $2,559 | 31/03/2026 |