Win rate
56.1%
641 W / 502 L
Total PnL
$2,527
realized $-536 · unrealized $3,064
Portfolio
$3,064
volume $191,343
Predictions
2,840
34.3/day · avg $67
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 52% +$1,481
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Arizona Diamondbacks | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Thunder | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Knicks | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | Over | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 | Over | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
Politics 72% +$675
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 57¢ | 50¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$22 | win |
| Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will Trump post "Artemis" or "Orion" on Truth Social this week? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during events with Rutte? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$541
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 32¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5 | Over | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 1.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5 | Over | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
Other 58% +$350
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,215,000 and $1,250,000 on April 30? | No | 47¢ | 96¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will the median home value in Chicago be less than $336,000 on April 30? | No | 42¢ | 58¢ | +$9 | win |
| Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5) | Musetti | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergs | Flavio Cobolli | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5 | Over | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Mentions 64% +$339
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Elections 67% +$287
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33¢ | 16¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | win |
Weather 50% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC end in a draw? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers | Wichita State Shockers | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
Crypto 59% $-647
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Norway end in a draw? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winner | SEA | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 6? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 6? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 5? | No | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on February 5? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 5? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | Down | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Esports 42% $-723
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG - Map 2 Winner | magic | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-242 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs NSN - Map 1 Winner | NSN | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs m1x (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs | CSDIILIT | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 2 Winner | bankaPEPSI | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | win |
| Counter-Strike: bankaPEPSI vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffs | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-In | Vexar | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | G2 | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs | eLITenergy | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner | Fnatic | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 67.6¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 4.5 | Over | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5) | Holstein Kiel | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw? | Yes | 63.7¢ | 27¢ | $-32 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Antalyaspor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5 | Over | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $48 | 16/04/2026 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Over | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $201 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $285 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $117 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Over | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik | Gael Monfils | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 4.5 | Over | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilo | Alejandro Tabilo | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $37 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5) | CA Banfield | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 | Over | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK end in a draw? | No | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Artemis" or "Orion" on Truth Social this week? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 37.1¢ | 85¢ | +$64 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 16¢ | $-17 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $181 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |