Win rate
55.6%
20 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$369
realized $-327 · unrealized $696
Portfolio
$696
volume $60,546
Predictions
442
3.8/day · avg $137
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 33% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Weather 62% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 30¢ | 18¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18? | No | 68¢ | 47¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 59¢ | 28¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 80¢ | 61¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | 61¢ | 99¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 61¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 17? | No | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (37)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 59.0¢ | 28¢ | $-23 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | No | 72.5¢ | 71¢ | $-1 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 79.8¢ | 61¢ | $-9 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | 60.9¢ | 99¢ | +$19 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 61.0¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 63.8¢ | 47¢ | $-6 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 17? | No | 63.8¢ | 74¢ | +$4 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 68.3¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 68.8¢ | 72¢ | +$1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 17? | No | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 14? | No | 40.6¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | No | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $82 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 9? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $111 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 8? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 8? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on April 8? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 7? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 6? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 5? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $22 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on April 4? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 29.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $79 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $25 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $32 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $21 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $89 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 30.4¢ | 18¢ | $-22 | $56 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? | No | 64.0¢ | 77¢ | +$5 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18? | No | 67.9¢ | 47¢ | $-7 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |