Win rate
53.7%
29 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$-172
realized $-1,314 · unrealized $1,142
Portfolio
$1,142
volume $12,982
Predictions
284
2.7/day · avg $46
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 60% +$86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 42¢ | 74¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 69¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 64¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | India | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Celtics | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Culture 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Finance 25% $-59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Other 54% $-268
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 47¢ | 98¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 64¢ | 60¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | No | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | No | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | No | 49¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $108 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 66.8¢ | 99¢ | +$40 | $82 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $104 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10? | No | 62.6¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 10/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $24 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 05/04/2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $109 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $109 | 31/03/2026 |
| England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $47 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $53 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 22/03/2026 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $23 | 16/03/2026 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | India | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $35 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 14/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Celtics | 39.4¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $25 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $34 | 07/03/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5 | Under | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $35 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-28? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $20 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14? | No | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $33 | 12/02/2026 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) | SV Werder Bremen | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-09? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $29 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $48 | 04/01/2026 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $36 | 03/01/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 28/12/2025 |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) | Manchester United FC | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $23 | 21/12/2025 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 13/12/2025 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | KT Rolster | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $23 | 01/11/2025 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Gen.G | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $40 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | No | 48.7¢ | 48¢ | $-5 | $218 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 72.0¢ | 89¢ | +$7 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | No | 63.0¢ | 94¢ | +$18 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 64.0¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | $46 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 63.7¢ | 60¢ | $-53 | $881 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | No | 63.9¢ | 68¢ | +$5 | $74 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 98¢ | +$23 | $24 | 30/05/2026 |