Win rate
42.8%
122 W / 163 L
Total PnL
$-1,691
realized $-2,425 · unrealized $734
Portfolio
$734
volume $581,796
Predictions
843
3.8/day · avg $690
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/04/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 33% +$2,701
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 48¢ | +$436 | win |
| Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 81¢ | +$10 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 30¢ | 19¢ | $-4 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 32¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Tech 50% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 67¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Economy 60% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Politics 0% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Culture 0% $-72
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Elections 0% $-74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
Sports 39% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $110 end of November? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Star Power Parlay - St. Brown 50+ receiving yards, Hurts 25+ rushing yards, Total 41+ points | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Lions vs. Eagles | Lions | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Crypto 51% $-4,073
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 28¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 51¢ | 86¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 12¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 26¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 28¢ | $-27 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 32¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 17¢ | 6¢ | $-43 | loss |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | Gold | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season? | No | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $55 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $284 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5) | VCU Rams | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $55 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 68.1¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $114 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $33 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | $124 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $20 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $22 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1 | Yes | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 31/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 27.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $27 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in December? | No | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $33 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $43 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $30 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $160 in December? | No | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December? | No | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $52 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | Yes | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $70 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Axiom launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $80 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $31 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $122 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $43 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $103 | 01/01/2026 |
| Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025? | Yes | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $45 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025? | Yes | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $35 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $30 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $35 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Rabby launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $77 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | $201 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December? | No | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $819 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 17.9¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $90 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 15.7¢ | 78¢ | +$26 | $358 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31? | No | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $350 | 31/12/2025 |
| SBF released from custody in 2025? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $107 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $37 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $46 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | No | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $852 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $90 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $28 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | Yes | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $45 | 31/12/2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $223 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025? | No | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $-145 | $313 | 31/12/2025 |