Win rate
83.5%
772 W / 152 L
Total PnL
$-55,710
realized $-57,248 · unrealized $1,538
Portfolio
$1,538
volume $4,432,983
Predictions
962
5.5/day · avg $4,608
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/05/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 96% $-85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-836 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 97% $-422
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 73% $-448
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 71¢ | 35¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-179 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by October 31? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-416 | loss |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on October 17 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 22? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump issue 31-33 executive orders in his first week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 96% $-952
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on January 1? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Rabby launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-822 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $90 on December 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.70 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 33% $-5,158
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-1,295 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-3,865 | loss |
| Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State | Ole Miss | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 57% $-5,719
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 65¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-584 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-482 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Geopolitics 73% $-6,615
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Panthers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1,292 | loss |
| Bruins vs. Senators | Senators | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-6,164 | loss |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 0% $-7,617
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-7,000 | loss |
| Will there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
Sports 83% $-13,826
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Boston Red Sox | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Devils vs. Bruins | Bruins | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Other 88% $-15,469
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-1,880 | loss |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | B8 | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | Gentle Mates | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 65.0¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | $78 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 60.6¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $95 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $91 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $16,543 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $10,224 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Rangers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $6,993 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $5,030 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,797 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $332 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-76 | $163 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $-278 | $312 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-482 | $555 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 68.7¢ | 0¢ | $-584 | $584 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,880 | $1,880 | 15/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | B8 | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | $169 | 14/04/2026 |
| Devils vs. Bruins | Bruins | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $6,287 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $13,104 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $8,991 | 14/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $156 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-236 | $236 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | Gentle Mates | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $225 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $134 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $3,150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,415 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $487 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 66.8¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $9,026 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $9,001 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $4,102 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $3,501 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,332 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,006 | 12/04/2026 |