apa91

Other 75% +$20 $242 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	78¢	$-2	loss
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	92¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	61¢	63¢	+$2	win
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$19	win

Sports 67% +$4 $127 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15¢	16¢	+$6	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	4¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	78¢	100¢	+$17	win

Tech 67% +$1 $84 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	11¢	10¢	+$0	win
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	47¢	87¢	+$5	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?	No	32¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Mentions 0% $-13 $188 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	61¢	0¢	$-13	loss

Politics 33% $-30 $135 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	40¢	65¢	+$5	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	63¢	70¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	9¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Elections 25% $-45 $365 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	69¢	70¢	$-0	loss
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-12	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	70¢	90¢	$-3	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	22¢	22¢	+$3	win
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	89¢	82¢	$-4	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	34¢	18¢	$-3	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-459 $1,482 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	55¢	34¢	$-433	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	96¢	99¢	+$2	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	38¢	57¢	+$10	win
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	29¢	17¢	$-35	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	38¢	100¢	$-6	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win