Win rate
54.5%
12 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$865
realized $-74 · unrealized $938
Portfolio
$938
volume $27,680
Predictions
492
6.5/day · avg $56
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$232
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 62¢ | +$146 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 30¢ | 6¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Other 100% +$92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 35¢ | 82¢ | +$58 | win |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 58¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bayrou out as French PM in 2025? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 43% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 60¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? | Yes | 26¢ | 21¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | Yes | 26¢ | 23¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Robert Peters be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 32.3¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $22 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 23.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Robert Peters be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $23 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $23 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 33.7¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $28 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $34 | 25/01/2026 |
| Bayrou out as French PM in 2025? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $47 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $106 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | 69.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $26 | 08/09/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 47.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $33 | 24/06/2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $22 | 18/05/2025 |
| Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | Yes | 25.9¢ | 23¢ | $-2 | $23 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 29.6¢ | 6¢ | $-14 | $23 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? | Yes | 26.1¢ | 21¢ | $-4 | $23 | 23/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.4¢ | 40¢ | +$5 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | $27 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 8.1¢ | 62¢ | +$146 | $22 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 34.5¢ | 82¢ | +$58 | $33 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $27 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 6¢ | +$4 | $26 | 07/11/2028 |