Fero046

Geopolitics 30% +$3,818 $3,424 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-79	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-73	loss
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	Yes	8¢	4¢	$-85	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	3¢	1¢	$-24	loss
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	4¢	2¢	$-19	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-306	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$242	win

Elections 0% $-43 $248 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-27	loss
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	7¢	$-16	loss

Politics 0% $-259 $575 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-76	loss
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-22	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-63	loss
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-97	loss

Economy 0% $-386 $722 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-51	loss

Crypto 0% $-456 $1,230 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$-119	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	7¢	2¢	$-313	loss
Will Hegseth say "CIA" during press conference?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Other 0% $-1,404 $1,846 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	15¢	4¢	$-23	loss
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	Yes	12¢	2¢	$-190	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-237	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $100–$110 on April 8?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-99	loss