Win rate
24.8%
918 W / 2780 L
Total PnL
$32,999
realized $-2,136 · unrealized $35,135
Portfolio
$35,135
volume $13,961,749
Predictions
3,769
43.4/day · avg $3,704
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 25% +$32,109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | loss |
Sports 71% +$127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Economy 57% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$42 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 46% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 6? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 25? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 25? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on July 25? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $200 on July 25? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $175 on July 23? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3000 on July 21? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 11? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on July 11? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Weather 86% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
Other 50% $-116
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 44¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Tea App removed from App Store by August 31? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in July? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 14% $-588
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 16¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100¢ | +$534 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $213 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $248 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $44 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4,852 | $210 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 100¢ | +$991 | $109 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$440 | $220 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | +$402 | $224 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | +$196 | $174 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$94 | $183 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | $161 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $208 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $152 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,980 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $891 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $299 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $793 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $999 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $599 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,998 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $899 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $299 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,298 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,399 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $498 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,098 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,895 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,687 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $498 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,299 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $202 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | $1,052 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | $676 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-48 | $975 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | $297 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |