Win rate
68.2%
15 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$98
realized $-562 · unrealized $660
Portfolio
$660
volume $17,841
Predictions
44
11.9/day · avg $405
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 67% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
Elections 67% +$72
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 89¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 32¢ | 20¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | No | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 19¢ | $-20 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Up | 43.9¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | 45.1¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $91 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $97 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 31.9¢ | 20¢ | $-10 | $88 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$21 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $224 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 20¢ | +$2 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 68.8¢ | 78¢ | +$7 | $58 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78.4¢ | 81¢ | +$2 | $51 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | No | 75.4¢ | 80¢ | +$14 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $39 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $63 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 82¢ | +$19 | $87 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 65.3¢ | 79¢ | +$44 | $97 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32.5¢ | 19¢ | $-20 | $33 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 23.1¢ | 18¢ | $-11 | $66 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 93.0¢ | 89¢ | $-4 | $104 | 31/05/2026 |