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Economy 67% +$29,658 $487,978 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-258	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$22,206	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7,710	win

Geopolitics 41% +$18,108 $96,224 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	52¢	78¢	+$211	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	27¢	0¢	$-1,228	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$1,547	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	52¢	75¢	+$668	win
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$5	win
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	11¢	31¢	+$372	win
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$6	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	48¢	25¢	$-325	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	27¢	25¢	$-20	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	12¢	8¢	$-45	loss

Sports 79% +$1,336 $73,949 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	81¢	100¢	+$734	win
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$427	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	11¢	0¢	+$128	win
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	27¢	100¢	+$55	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5	Under	78¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	33¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Finance 25% $-200 $13,290 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-34	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?	Down	26¢	0¢	$-162	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?	Down	96¢	100¢	+$515	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?	Up	65¢	0¢	$-519	loss

Politics 38% $-414 $2,643 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	5¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-246	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	19¢	12¢	$-158	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	94¢	+$415	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	5¢	6¢	+$14	win
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?	No	31¢	0¢	$-308	loss

Crypto 31% $-416 $7,286 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	70¢	0¢	$-191	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	79¢	100¢	+$79	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	44¢	0¢	$-173	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	2¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	11¢	0¢	$-199	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	50¢	0¢	$-295	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	45¢	0¢	$-225	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	48¢	0¢	$-235	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	51¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	55¢	0¢	+$5	win

Other 17% $-4,805 $9,484 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	85¢	100¢	+$618	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	53¢	46¢	$-79	loss
State of the Union Bingo - Card 3	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-393	loss
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-50	loss