Win rate
75.9%
180 W / 57 L
Total PnL
$-15,751
realized $-371,917 · unrealized $356,165
Portfolio
$356,165
volume $4,241,171
Predictions
220
3.4/day · avg $19,278
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 63% +$1,977
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1,293 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-600 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-387 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 92% +$1,171
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$578 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$231 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | win |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 100% +$409
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$345 | win |
| Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Crypto 100% +$59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 0% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Elections 76% $-19,661
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 42¢ | 36¢ | $-1,462 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 21¢ | 66¢ | +$36,809 | win |
| Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$697 | win |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 92¢ | 90¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will George Forsyth finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$854 | $9,975 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$385 | $6,093 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 29.3¢ | 0¢ | +$320 | $596 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 80.6¢ | 100¢ | +$286 | $1,196 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$263 | $5,388 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $3,532 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $2,897 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $611 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $3,222 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $826 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $787 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $242 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,023 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $546 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $458 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $481 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $403 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $745 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $568 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $105 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will George Forsyth finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $450 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mesías Guevara finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $280 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $370 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $108 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $166 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $267 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $122 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $132 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fernando Olivera finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $269 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $263 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will José Williams finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $151 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $208 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Enrique Valderrama finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $206 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $167 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $164 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $163 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Enrique Valderrama finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $161 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $163 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will César Acuña finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mario Vizcarra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will José Williams finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $96 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will George Forsyth finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |