GingerMcKenna

Esports 0% +$0 $244 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	No	95¢	93¢	+$0	—

Crypto 29% $-79 $758 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get less than 2m views in the first week?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	96¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Ethan Quinn win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win

Culture 31% $-445 $5,691 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 52m?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 52m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	4¢	100¢	+$216	win
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	90¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	No	90¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Bad Guys: The Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 12% $-580 $6,709 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	93¢	98¢	$-32	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	99¢	$-66	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	67¢	7¢	+$0	—
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?	No	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.9%?	No	100¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	No	99¢	100¢	$-25	loss

Tech 33% $-1,202 $10,566 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	100¢	99¢	$-30	loss
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	No	99¢	99¢	$-20	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	81¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$324	win
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-194	loss
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-29	loss
Will Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-62	loss
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-37	loss
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-350	loss

Finance 17% $-2,309 $6,143 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	44¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	62¢	81¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	98¢	96¢	$-17	loss
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	99¢	$-44	loss
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	35¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	97¢	$-345	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	—

Politics 11% $-3,170 $42,811 vol · 159 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	100¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	No	100¢	99¢	$-12	loss
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	99¢	100¢	$-85	loss
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	No	100¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils?	No	95¢	94¢	+$0	—

Mentions 23% $-3,948 $16,795 vol · 154 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-82	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-152	loss
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	24¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Khamenei post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss

Geopolitics 26% $-4,438 $33,925 vol · 120 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	$-10	loss
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-112	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	No	100¢	100¢	$-281	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	96¢	95¢	$-16	loss
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	85¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	99¢	99¢	$-106	loss

Weather 33% $-4,813 $19,470 vol · 462 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	91¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	No	83¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 18?	No	83¢	72¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 9% $-16,920 $145,401 vol · 249 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	60¢	66¢	$-7	loss
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-112	loss
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	99¢	99¢	$-522	loss
Will Travis Green win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	100¢	99¢	$-49	loss
Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	100¢	99¢	$-10	loss

Elections 15% $-20,153 $97,757 vol · 377 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	77¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-88	loss
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-523	loss
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Other 27% $-20,979 $148,677 vol · 785 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	4¢	60¢	+$233	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	No	100¢	100¢	$-947	loss
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-87	loss
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	99¢	97¢	+$0	—
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?	No	100¢	99¢	$-20	loss
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	100¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Robbie Keane be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	$-29	loss
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	100¢	99¢	+$0	—