Win rate
44.7%
17 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$79
realized $-932 · unrealized $1,011
Portfolio
$1,011
volume $290,910
Predictions
60
2.5/day · avg $4,848
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 53% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 13¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 30% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 67% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 25¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84¢ | 85¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $54 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $808 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $739 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $751 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $735 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $736 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $826 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $212 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $809 | 12/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 96.9¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | $1,042 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $245 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | $1,149 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $108 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 85.8¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $812 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $826 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | $116 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.6¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $735 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | $1,616 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10.7¢ | 12¢ | $-24 | $658 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $867 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 24.6¢ | 25¢ | +$13 | $1,030 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,057 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 96.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $736 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 98¢ | $-3 | $2,275 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 2¢ | +$3 | $41 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 1¢ | +$3 | $79 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $2,410 | 16/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 86.6¢ | 95¢ | +$43 | $1,159 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $135 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $1,786 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83.7¢ | 85¢ | $-2 | $4,561 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87.1¢ | 89¢ | +$0 | $983 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $641 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.2¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $1,145 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $407 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 11¢ | $-4 | $289 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,145 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,141 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97.2¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,152 | 01/11/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $621 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | $-5 | $1,163 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.8¢ | 91¢ | $-6 | $1,016 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 9¢ | $-2 | $728 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 39¢ | $-3 | $1,103 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 73.4¢ | 73¢ | $-1 | $3,017 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 17¢ | +$2 | $379 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 7¢ | +$45 | $328 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96.2¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $816 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $2,362 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $25 | 07/11/2028 |