Vermin-Supreme

Politics 63% +$120,737 $416,622 vol · 1483 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump visit Georgia in 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	No	56¢	80¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-683	loss
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	3¢	14¢	$-6	loss
Will JD Vance be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Yes	6¢	11¢	+$38	win
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$119	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	61¢	99¢	+$8,473	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	29¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-336	loss

Culture 100% +$2,544 $1,013 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	28¢	100¢	+$1,445	win
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$1,099	win

Sports 80% +$276 $570 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Karoline Leavitt say inflation 5+ times in her next press briefing?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$0	win
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$41	win
Coinbase top 20 app December 13?	No	38¢	100¢	+$254	win
Coinbase top 20 app December 13?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$16	win
Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Finance 75% +$157 $714 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-100	loss
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?	No	8¢	0¢	+$88	win
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$44	win

Elections 57% +$107 $133,630 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$107	win
Will Trump say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Leavitt say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will Leavitt say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Trump say "Election" at Fort Bragg on Friday?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$9	win

Tech 50% +$46 $452 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Elon say "Tesla" during Baier interview on Thursday?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$179	win

Economy 0% $-181 $181 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 15+ times during speech on October 14?	No	63¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Houthis successfully attack shipping in March?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-115	loss

Crypto 54% $-1,411 $19,690 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hegseth say "Fire" during press conference?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Melania say "Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-189	loss
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Peace" during press conference?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will "Pete" or "Hegseth" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-83	loss
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	46¢	100¢	+$14	win
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-267	loss
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?	Yes	42¢	0¢	+$264	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-166	loss

Geopolitics 55% $-11,234 $57,353 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	66¢	100¢	$-70	loss
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	51¢	4¢	$-693	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	No	85¢	100¢	$-190	loss
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	No	12¢	100¢	+$2,626	win
Iran leadership change by March 31?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-540	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$9	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-980	loss
Will Melania say "Ukraine" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	14¢	100¢	+$392	win
Will JD Vance say "Iran" during Michigan visit?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$39	win

Other 46% $-13,179 $44,736 vol · 140 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	56¢	66¢	+$56	win
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	Yes	41¢	10¢	$-320	loss
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-913	loss
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-341	loss
Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will "Wild" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	No	37¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-100	loss
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-41	loss