ondra123

Economy 73% +$14,475 $69,956 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$361	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$171	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$31	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3,262	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?	No	29¢	100¢	+$1,905	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	No	40¢	100¢	+$8,104	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-121	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-240	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?	No	35¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?	No	49¢	100¢	+$202	win

Geopolitics 74% +$9,017 $735,980 vol · 269 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	No	75¢	100¢	+$1,340	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-6,349	loss
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$115	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	18¢	50¢	+$50	win
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	31¢	46¢	+$9	win
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	34¢	6¢	$-28	loss
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	70¢	94¢	+$417	win
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	88¢	96¢	+$68	win
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$842	win
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?	No	94¢	100¢	+$24	win

Sports 90% +$4,072 $23,214 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	76¢	100¢	+$1,431	win
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$280	win
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	47¢	100¢	+$317	win
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?	No	71¢	0¢	$-744	loss
Bonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June?	No	82¢	100¢	+$59	win

Tech 70% +$2,197 $13,136 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	83¢	95¢	+$57	win
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	26¢	16¢	$-53	loss
Google Trends Parlay	No	85¢	100¢	+$387	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	76¢	100¢	$-126	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	67¢	100¢	+$23	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-243	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$1,260	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?	No	70¢	100¢	+$540	win

Culture 100% +$121 $399 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$121	win

Finance 0% $-164 $164 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-164	loss

Weather 66% $-1,717 $29,974 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-1,532	loss
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	No	56¢	0¢	$-556	loss
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-642	loss
Will Hurricane Imelda make landfall in the US?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-385	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$319	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$269	win
Another 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?	No	84¢	100¢	+$257	win
Will a hurricane form by September 30?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$57	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Crypto 50% $-2,791 $23,144 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	80¢	0¢	$-2,749	loss
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	$-220	loss
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$127	win
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$51	win

Politics 67% $-5,186 $145,362 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	77¢	48¢	$-10	loss
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$60	win
Trump's Christmas Wishlist Parlay	No	86¢	100¢	+$236	win
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?	No	65¢	100¢	+$247	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$224	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$143	win
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$113	win
Trump-Epstein Parlay	No	92¢	100¢	+$43	win
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?	No	83¢	100¢	+$34	win
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$14	win

Other 67% $-9,246 $417,524 vol · 152 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$27	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$237	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$222	win
Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	76¢	56¢	$-375	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	50¢	44¢	$-32	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	16¢	62¢	+$33	win
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	55¢	38¢	$-335	loss
Services Down Parlay	No	73¢	97¢	+$46	win
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	No	17¢	0¢	$-513	loss

Elections 69% $-15,426 $53,203 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	43¢	61¢	+$374	win
Ukraine election called in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$258	win
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?	No	9¢	0¢	+$23	win
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?	No	99¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-461	loss
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	37¢	0¢	$-4,487	loss
Elections go right: October	No	67¢	100¢	+$250	win
SPD wins 14% or more of vote in Czech election?	No	74¢	100¢	+$1,363	win